Trader Workspace

Market Regime

Cycle phase, valuation models, price context, and the highest-priority market signals.

Regime

Tactical / Cautious Bullish

Positive inflows in BTC ETFs, improving liquidity, and constructive demand mix. Caution amid elevated liquidations and macro sensitivity remains vital.

Largest 24h shift

Changed

+1.6% for BTC and ETH

Immediate alert

Watch

Maintain tactical positioning amid potential volatility due to macro headlines.

Main Sections

The dashboard is organized directly from the spreadsheet template.

Regime Monitor Table

Top-level cycle and valuation monitors summarized in a denser workbook-style view.

MonitorInstrumentTermCurrentSecondarySignalTriggerSource
Bitcoin Power Law
Valuation Model
BTCn/a116,320Target $200k by Oct 2025BUYPower law floor supportDiscord / Power Law
Mayer Multiple
Technical Market Phase
BTCn/a0.90Spot 10.3% below 200DMABUYBuy near 0.8, sell near 2.4Coinbase public candles / internal calc
Fear & Greed Index
Sentiment
BTCn/a54GreedHOLD74+ extreme greedCoinMarketCap / Glassnode
200 day MA (28 weeks)
Technical Market Phase
BTCn/a$71,731Spot 10.3% below 200DMASELLMacro trend anchorCoinbase public candles / internal calc
Bitcoin Price vs Cost Basis Stack
Market Phase
BTCn/aSpot above realised price / active-investor meanVaulted price 157,100HOLDWatch spot versus realised price / STH cost basisCheckOnChain

Section

Market Regime

Mixed evidence with tactical bullish outlook despite elevated risks. Monitor ETF flows and liquidity.

Primary stance

Tactical / cautious bullish

cycle phase / valuation models / headline market stance

Primary sources

CheckOnChain

CheckOnChain, TradingView, Power Law model

Monitors

5

Tracked rows in this section

Buy Bias

2

Rows currently marked buy / constructive

Sell Risk

1

Rows currently marked sell / bearish

Watch

0

Rows currently flagged for monitoring

BTC / USDT

BINANCE:BTCUSDT

Valuation Model

MonitorInstrumentTermCurrentSecondarySignalTriggerSource
Bitcoin Power Law
Valuation Model

Long-term valuation model tracking Bitcoin against the power-law trajectory and floor.

BTCn/a116,320Target $200k by Oct 2025BUYPower law floor supportDiscord / Power Law

Technical Market Phase

MonitorInstrumentTermCurrentSecondarySignalTriggerSource
Mayer Multiple
Technical Market Phase

Live regime monitor derived from Coinbase public BTC candles.

BTCn/a0.90Spot 10.3% below 200DMABUYBuy near 0.8, sell near 2.4Coinbase public candles / internal calc
200 day MA (28 weeks)
Technical Market Phase

Live regime monitor derived from Coinbase public BTC candles.

BTCn/a$71,731Spot 10.3% below 200DMASELLMacro trend anchorCoinbase public candles / internal calc

Sentiment

MonitorInstrumentTermCurrentSecondarySignalTriggerSource
Fear & Greed Index
Sentiment

Market emotion gauge using volatility, momentum, dominance, and trend inputs.

BTCn/a54GreedHOLD74+ extreme greedCoinMarketCap / Glassnode

Market Phase

MonitorInstrumentTermCurrentSecondarySignalTriggerSource
Bitcoin Price vs Cost Basis Stack
Market Phase

Tracks BTC spot against vaulted price, realised price, true market mean, and STH cost basis to frame the cycle.

BTCn/aSpot above realised price / active-investor meanVaulted price 157,100HOLDWatch spot versus realised price / STH cost basisCheckOnChain